Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.001120 0.001267 0.001415 0.001574 0.001740 0.001906 0.002086
2025-11-23 0.000896 0.001109 0.001330 0.001573 0.001831 0.002096 0.002387
2025-11-30 0.000763 0.001029 0.001313 0.001631 0.001975 0.002333 0.002731
2025-12-07 0.000611 0.000913 0.001244 0.001624 0.002043 0.002483 0.002978
2025-12-14 0.000466 0.000789 0.001156 0.001589 0.002072 0.002587 0.003170
2025-12-21 0.000383 0.000728 0.001134 0.001620 0.002170 0.002761 0.003435
2025-12-28 0.000280 0.000631 0.001061 0.001589 0.002194 0.002851 0.003605
2026-01-04 0.000212 0.000569 0.001024 0.001594 0.002255 0.002978 0.003812
2026-01-11 0.000147 0.000500 0.000973 0.001578 0.002289 0.003073 0.003982
2026-01-18 0.000095 0.000440 0.000929 0.001567 0.002326 0.003168 0.004150
2026-01-25 0.000040 0.000354 0.000844 0.001502 0.002296 0.003185 0.004228
2026-02-01 0.000017 0.000315 0.000817 0.001506 0.002346 0.003291 0.004404
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000258 0.000774 0.001504 0.002408 0.003433 0.004646
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000207 0.000733 0.001505 0.002474 0.003581 0.004897
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000186 0.000738 0.001564 0.002610 0.003810 0.005240
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000141 0.000695 0.001559 0.002666 0.003947 0.005480
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000092 0.000635 0.001525 0.002685 0.004039 0.005667
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000072 0.000623 0.001556 0.002784 0.004222 0.005957
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000038 0.000569 0.001525 0.002804 0.004312 0.006138
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000020 0.000543 0.001531 0.002867 0.004451 0.006375
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000005 0.000504 0.001515 0.002902 0.004556 0.006571
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000471 0.001505 0.002942 0.004664 0.006771
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000405 0.001440 0.002909 0.004685 0.006867